Trump Maintains Lead in Swing States as Biden Struggles to Keep Up

( – More polls show that former President Donald Trump is ahead of President Joe Biden in five of the six key swing states leading up to the anticipated rematch between the two candidates.

On Monday, May 13th, new polls were released by Siena College, the Philadelphia Inquirer, and the New York Times showing Biden trailing Trump. Despite the former president’s lead, Democratic Senate candidates are still ahead of their GOP challengers in those states, which are Pennsylvania, Nevada, Wisconsin, Georgia, and Arizona.

In the hypothetical rematch, likely voters favored Trump in these five states, with the results for Georgia and Nevada outside the margin of error. The polls showed Biden ahead in one battleground state within the margin of error, which was Michigan at 47% next to Trump’s 46%. Among registered voters, though, Biden didn’t have that slight lead in Michigan but instead in Wisconsin.

Trump’s biggest lead is in Nevada, where he’s polling at 51% among likely voters compared to Biden at 38%. In Georgia, Trump came in at 50% and Biden at 41%. That gap was slimmer in Arizona at 49 to 43%, and in Pennsylvania with Trump at 48 and Biden at 45%. Besides Michigan, where Biden took a slight lead, the closest match-up with Trump slightly ahead was in Wisconsin at 47% to Biden’s 46%.

The poll results found that Trump improved among young voters and black voters compared to the last election in 2020. Among voters 18 to 29, the former president and Biden are now about neck-and-neck. They were also tied among Hispanic voters.

The latest poll results are similar to results from last year in the fall which already showed the former president’s narrow lead. Although polls do not definitively answer the question of what will happen in November, such data indicates general trends and how candidates are received by the public enough to make predictions. The latest results imply that Biden and Trump locking in their nominations and the ongoing ad campaigns from Biden in battleground states may not have had much impact.

The polls surveyed over 4,000 voters between April 28th and May 9th across six states and had a margin of error in each state ranging from 3.6 to 4.6 percentage points.

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